A market‑ and time‑consistent extension for the EIOPA risk‑margin
DP 02/2023-075
In this paper, we investigate market- and time-consistent valuation of life-insurance liabilities, which are long-dated by nature. To obtain a market- and time-consistent value, the “two-step market evaluation” introduced by Pelsser and Stadje (Math Finance 24:25–65, 2014) is used to evaluate a hybrid payoff with underlying hedgeable financial and (partially) unhedgeable actuarial risks. The resulting time-consistent and market-consistent (TCMC) price captures the dynamics of the risk drivers over the lifetime of the contract. We show that the EIOPA standard-formula for the risk-margin is not time-consistent, and we construct a time-consistent version of the risk-margin that captures the extra uncertainties from the process dynamics. EIOPA’s standard-formula for the Risk-Margin is compared to the TCMC price for a simple unit-linked contract and we show that the effects of time-inconsistency are increasing with maturity and are significant for long-dated contracts.
Lees het later nog eens terug
Downloads
Op de hoogte blijven?
Wil je op de hoogte blijven van onderzoek, bijeenkomsten en nieuws? Meld je aan voor de maandelijkse nieuwsbrief van Netspar.