Individual welfare gains from deferred life-annuities under stochastic mortality

At the end of the deferment period a deferred annuity’s policyholder can choose between receiving annuity payouts or the capital accumulated. Considering stochastic mortality improvements, the lump-sum option could be of potential value for the policyholder. Whenever mortality improves less than expected at contract inception, the policyholder will choose the lump-sum and buy an annuity at current market prices. Otherwise, he will retain the more favorable deferred annuity. We use a realistically calibrated life-cycle model and calculate the welfare gains of deferred annuities considering stochastic mortality. Our results are relevant for individualretirement planning, pension system design, and insurance pricing.

Netspar, Network for Studies on Pensions, Aging and Retirement, is een denktank en kennisnetwerk. Netspar is gericht op een goed geïnformeerd pensioendebat.

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