For the upcoming Solvency II framework, the Smith-Wilson method constitutes the extrapolation technique for valuing long-term liabilities. Next to the Smith-Wilson method this paper considersthree other methods to extrapolate the long end of the Euro yield curve. Two of them belong to the popular Nelson-Siegel family and the other represents the equilibrium class of interest rate termstructure models. Evaluated by the models’ ability to reduce volatility for long-term yields and by their extrapolation errors, the Smith-Wilson method performs best. Unlike the other methods, it does not require parameter estimations. Only since mid-2011, when yields have shifted to unprecedentedly low levels, the Smith-Wilson method deteriorates and the Nelson-Siegel model exhibits substantiallybetter tted extrapolations.

Netspar, Network for Studies on Pensions, Aging and Retirement, is een denktank en kennisnetwerk. Netspar is gericht op een goed geïnformeerd pensioendebat.

MEER OVER NETSPAR


Missie en strategie           •           Netwerk           •           Organisatie           •          Podcasts
Board Brief            •            Werkprogramma 2023-2027           •           Onderzoeksagenda

OVER NETSPAR

Onze partners

B20160708_tilburg university
B20200214_BlackRock_BLK_eng_black_rgb_small
B20200104_RailOV_logoo.original.grijswaarden
Print
B20190823_mn-logo_small
Bekijk al onze partners